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Modeling and Simulation

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Researchers frequently require a quantitative understanding of the likely consequences of different actions before they can advise decisionmakers and design effective policies. RAND develops and uses statistical, econometric, and other exploratory models and simulations to analyze the potential outcomes of different policies in a range of areas such as transportation usage, health care, patient safety, and military campaigns.

Report

Graph Theoretic Algorithms for the Ground Based Strategic Deterrent Program

Nov 8, 2021

The Ground Based Strategic Deterrent is a complete replacement for an aging intercontinental ballistic missile system that is currently under development. What are quantitative methods that can be used to make the unified certification process for nuclear systems more rigorous and efficient?
Report

New Model Helps Predict Cyber Threats and Improve Resilience

May 11, 2021

Today's evolving cyber threats require a tailored and targeted approach to cybersecurity. Current defenses focus on managing threats after a network has been breached. RAND's Scalable Warning and Resilience Model (SWARM) can help defenders proactively protect their systems through early warning of cyber incidents before they occur.

Explore Modeling and Simulation

Tool

Tool Helps Defense Planners Match Priorities for Security Cooperation

A diagnostic tool maximizes the utility of security cooperation analyses and can help defense planners identify potential mismatches between security cooperation funding, priorities, and propensity for success with a given country.

Nov 6, 2013
Blog

What Mobility Might Look Like in the U.S. in 2030

Mobility — the ability to travel from one location to another — may look very different in the United States in the year 2030. Three key drivers differentiate possible scenarios: the price of oil, the development of environmental regulations, and the amount of highway revenues and expenditures.

Oct 28, 2013
News Release

New Modeling Tool Will Help Military Improve Retention and Manage Its Compensation System

A new modeling tool will allow the U.S. military to understand the workforce effects of permanent compensation and other workforce policies during a transition period, as well the effects of temporary policies such as pay freezes and furloughs.

Aug 26, 2013
Announcement

Susan Paddock Named Fellow of the American Statistical Association

The American Statistical Association named Susan Paddock as a 2013 ASA Fellow. She was honored for excellence in statistical applications to public policy research, for integrating innovative statistical methodology with substantive problems of national healthcare policy, and for noteworthy service to the profession.

Jul 1, 2013
Commentary

The Costs of Counterfeiting

Efforts to come to grips with intellectual property rights aren't dying down after the European Parliament voted down the Anti-Counterfeiting Trade Agreement (ACTA) last summer. Indeed, the need for evidence of the scale and impact of counterfeiting has only become more pressing. A RAND Europe report points to a potential solution and has already been dubbed "tech's Holy Grail" by a Fortune.com contributor.

Nov 28, 2012
Announcement

RAND's Lloyd Shapley Wins Nobel Prize in Economics

Lloyd S. Shapley, a longtime RAND researcher who is now an emeritus professor at UCLA, has been awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics jointly with Alvin E. Roth for his work on game theory.

Oct 15, 2012
News Release

New Method for Estimating Costs of Counterfeiting Presented

A new method for estimating the costs of counterfeiting was published today by RAND Europe. The approach uses market data to estimate the effects of intellectual property rights infringements, such as counterfeit products, on sales of legitimate goods.

Sep 27, 2012
Blog

Examining the Presidential Election With a Different Kind of Poll

RAND is introducing a new method of forecasting the outcomes of U.S. Presidential elections. Rather than repeatedly poll new random samples, this poll uses panel of 3,500 people who are asked the same questions every week. The results illustrate the effects of election season variables.

Sep 7, 2012
Commentary

Anatomy of a War Game

War games are especially important as countries prepare to counter adversaries who use asymmetric strategies or weapons, forcing military planners to deal with unfamiliar threats, writes Bruce Bennett.

Jun 12, 2012
News Release

RAND Corporation, Risk Management Solutions Launch New Company to Develop Liability Insurance Tools

The RAND Corporation, Risk Management Solutions, Inc. (RMS) and private investors have launched a company named Praedicat, Inc., that will provide consulting services and software to the property and casualty insurance industries.

Mar 14, 2012
News Release

Ending Individual Mandate Would Cut Health Coverage, but Not Dramatically Hike Insurance Price

Eliminating a key part of health care reform that requires all Americans to have health insurance would sharply lower the number of people gaining coverage, but would not dramatically increase the cost of buying policies through new insurance exchanges.

Feb 15, 2012
Project

Extending Copenhagen's Traffic Model May Help Reduce Congestion

RAND Europe is expanding the original traffic model it developed for Copenhagen to include time-of-day choice for car drivers. Doing so will allow city planners to assess the effectiveness of different charging policies aimed at reducing congestion levels.

Feb 9, 2012
Commentary

All Models Fail in Certain Situations

Perhaps fiscal and monetary policies have not been effective in the U.S. because the underlying problems may be structural. A key problem facing the technology-laden globalized U.S. economy is the gap between skills that employers demand and the unemployed have.

Aug 31, 2011
Project

Comprehensive Assessment of Reform Efforts (COMPARE)

Policymakers are facing new challenges as they implement the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA). RAND COMPARE is a modeling tool that simulates the impact of implementation decisions on insurance coverage, premiums, and health care spending.

Jul 20, 2011
News Release

Researchers Propose Consumers Buy Yearly 'Drug Licenses' as New Way to Pay for Prescriptions

Changing the way consumers pay for prescription drugs so that the system more closely resembles paying for cell phones or computer software could increase drug use without altering patients' out-of-pocket spending, health plan costs or drug company profits.

Jan 21, 2008
Announcement

Nobel Committee Honors Former RAND Economist Thomas Schelling

Dr. Thomas Schelling, recipient of the 2005 Nobel Prize in economics, had a nearly 50-year affiliation with RAND, including one year as a staff economist in the late 1950s. He received the prize "for having enhanced our understanding of conflict and cooperation through game-theory analysis."

Oct 11, 2005
People

Timothy Marler

Senior Research Engineer; Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School
Education Ph.D. in mechanical engineering, University of Iowa; M.S. in mechanical engineering, Penn State University; B.S. in mechanical engineering, University of Rochester
People

Andrea M. Abler

Technical Analyst
Education M.A. in security studies, Georgetown University; M.S. in oceanography, University of California San Diego; B.S. in physics, University of Maryland Baltimore County; B.A. in history, University of Maryland Baltimore County
People

Denis Agniel

Full Statistician
Education Ph.D. in biostatistics, Harvard University; A.M. in biostatistics, Harvard University; M.S. in statistics, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign; B.S. in statistics, Loyola University Chicago; B.A. in philosophy, Loyola University Chicago
People

Giovanni Amodeo

Research Assistant
Education M.Sc. in international social and public policy, London School of Economics; B.A. in government, politics and economics, Sciences Po Paris

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RAND Topic:
Modeling and Simulation

Topic Synonyms:
Mathematical Modeling;
Modelling

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